Targets at ADP: AFC East Edition
As draft season approaches, it's important to assess a players value compared to their Average Draft Position (ADP). I'm going through division by division and picking my favorite player at each position once accounting for their ADP.
Josh Allen (ADP QB10, 96 Overall)
Runner Up Sam Darnold (ADP QB27, 207 Overall)
Eric Christian Smith - Associated Press
I’m not often someone who drafts a QB in the first 8 rounds. I don’t think I’ve ever done it, but Josh Allen might be the first. Right now, he’s being drafted right at the 8/9 turn. Allen finished as the QB6 in 2019, and Buffalo traded for Stefon Diggs in the offseason. This signing shows the intention of allowing Josh Allen to throw the ball more in 2020. Allen was outside the top 20 in attempts last season, and the Buffalo Bills had the second most drops across the NFL. The addition of Diggs should allow Allen and the Bills to improve in both areas. At his current ADP, I’m glad to take Josh Allen as my only QB.
If you’re someone who prefers to draft a safe Quarterback and a high upside Quarterback, Sam Darnold should be on your list. He’s going nearly undrafted, but his end to 2019 was better than adequate. An improved offensive line could help Darnold breakout in 2020.
Julian Edelman (WR34, 76 Overall)
Runner Up Stefon Diggs (WR27, 64 Overall)
Gary Landers - Associated Press
Julian Edelman finished as the WR7 in PPR in 2019. He was WR12 in PPG in 2018. 2017 was lost to a torn ACL. He was WR15 in 2016. Yes, Tom Brady is gone, but Cam Newton is coming into New England ready to play. He’s the number 1 target for Newton, and Bill Belichick knows how to use his weapons. He’s once again slept on, and if he’s your 3rd WR, you’re sitting pretty. Edelman is definitely a better target in PPR than standard formats.
For Stefon Diggs, you can see my breakdown on Allen above. Diggs loves the deep ball, and if John Brown could finish in the to 20, Diggs can too. The floor is low with Diggs, but the ceiling is quite nice.
Jordan Howard (RB 39, 99 Overall)
Runner Up James White (RB 33, 83 Overall)
Jeff Hanisch - USA TODAY Sports
We all know Jordan Howard isn’t going to be out there catching passes in 2020. He’s never been good at that. However, in 3 years in Chicago, he managed to finish between RB10 and RB20 every season. In 2019 he averaged 4.4 YPC in limited work and found the end zone 6 times over 10 games in Philadelphia. While he likely won’t finish as an RB1, he can finish as an RB2 in Miami. Breida should provide Miami with a change of base, but Howard should be the top guy in the red zone.
Similar to Julian Edelman, James White should provide a safety blanket for Cam Newton. He won’t be the prettiest start, but he’s a reliable plug into your lineup at the flex position (PPR Only).
Chris Herndon (TE 21, 169 Overall)
Runner Up Mike Gesicki (TE 12, 119 Overall)
Brad Penner - USA TODAY Sports
There isn’t a top tier Tight End in the AFC East, but there are a few that have potential. My favorite is Chris Herndon. While he didn’t play in 2019, his rookie season was promising.
Herndon had over 500 yards and 4 touchdowns in 2019. If you draft two tight ends, Herndon is the late add with a high ceiling and a low floor.
Gesicki is looking like the third receiving option in Miami. Earlier in the offseason, he was a great value at his ADP. As he continues to rise, the less interested I’m becoming. That said, if you’re drafting a TE in the 10th round, you’re drafting for upside, and Gesicki has that.