[Pod+] Outlook 2020: Todd Gurley

Here’s what we know about Todd Gurley’s offseason thus far:

  • Cleared his physical: Check.

  • Better Offensive Line: Check.

  • Fresh start on a new team: Check.


Just like changing jobs for the everyday person, sometimes all one needs is a new environment to reinvigorate the ole mojo. It seems that this is what Todd Gurley has in front of him as the premiere RB on the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta doesn’t tout a dominating offensive line, but it is certainly better than the 31st ranked LA Rams offensive line.

Moreover, with the sendoff of $44 Million-Dollar man in TE Austin Hooper, the consensus is that Hayden Hurst will be a plug-and-play in this role; the not-so-obvious answer for targets over the middle is, in fact, Todd Gurley. Why? There is a direct correlation between TE targets vs. RB targets and the Atlanta Falcons are notorious for using their RBs in the passing game. The injuries that plagued lead RB Devonta Freeman over the past 3 seasons meant less RB targets and a significant increase in targets for Austin Hooper. (See video below) The adjustment to Freeman's injuries meant more Austin Hopper, but it also partly led to a lackluster offense that has struggled to regain its 2016 prestige. That all changes in 2020 with the addition of Todd Gurley. We expect the Falcons offense to lean on him heavily and often to open up room for Julio and Calvin, with Gurley being the option over the middle. His current ADP in Rounds 3/4 will likely produce a nice return for anyone snagging him as their RB2 with RB1 upside.